Reading U21 vs Newcastle United U21: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
48' — Newcastle United U21 took the lead: 0-1. V. Salia scored it. 71' — V. Salia of Newcastle United U21 was sent off. 90' — Reading U21 equalised: 1-1. M. Dashi scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Reading U21DrawNewcastle United U21
Pre-match model estimate: Reading U21 35%, draw 24%, Newcastle United U21 41%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Reading U21 win in 35% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Newcastle United U21 win 41%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 62%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 12%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It was Reading U21 0-0 Newcastle United U21 at half-time.
Newcastle United U21 took the lead in the 48th minute: V. Salia, set up by M. Ferreira. Newcastle United U21 were a man down from the 71st minute, when V. Salia was sent off for a second yellow card. Late on, in the 90th minute, Reading U21 drew level at 1-1 through M. Dashi, set up by J. Barough.
Match statistics
On target it was 5-5, from 8 and 6 attempts respectively. Corners finished 5-3. Dangerous attacks: 62 for Reading U21, 28 for Newcastle United U21.
The bigger picture
Newcastle United U21's winning streak stops at 5. Across 4 meetings in our records: 1 win for Reading U21, 1 win for Newcastle United U21 and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
