Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Ranheim IL beat Raufoss Fotball IL 3-1 in 1st Division.
Venue: NAMMO Stadion.
Referee: A. Bodding.
In our records Raufoss Fotball IL and Ranheim IL have met 10 times: Raufoss Fotball IL won 2, 4 ended level and Ranheim IL won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Ranheim IL 5-1 Raufoss Fotball IL.
Match decisions & VAR
33'Penalty awardedRanheim ILDecision
94'Penalty awardedRanheim ILDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Ranheim IL won 1-3.
Story
Raufoss Fotball IL vs Ranheim IL: the story of the match
9' — Raufoss Fotball IL took the lead: 1-0. 33' — Ranheim IL equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
88' — Ranheim IL completed the turnaround: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Ranheim IL extended the lead: 1-3. It came in the closing minutes. Ranheim IL won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Raufoss Fotball ILDrawRanheim IL
Pre-match model estimate: Raufoss Fotball IL 26%, draw 20%, Ranheim IL 54%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Raufoss Fotball IL win in 26% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Ranheim IL win 54%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 1-2 (9%); both teams score in 69%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 3.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Raufoss Fotball IL took the lead on 9 minutes. Ranheim IL drew level at 1-1 on 33 minutes. The first half ended 1-1.
Ranheim IL completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 88 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (90') Ranheim IL extended their lead to 3-1.
What the numbers say
On target it was 3-6, from 5 and 10 attempts respectively. Raufoss Fotball IL won 5 corners, Ranheim IL 3. 6 saves came from the Raufoss Fotball IL goalkeeper. Ranheim IL produced 149 dangerous attacks to Raufoss Fotball IL's 111.
What the result means
Raufoss Fotball IL have now gone 7 matches without a win. Ranheim IL have now scored in 12 consecutive matches.
What’s next
Raufoss Fotball IL visit Lyn 1896 FK next, on 1 November in the 1st Division. Next up for Ranheim IL: home to Fredrikstad FK on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
1st Division
