Ratchaburi FC vs Chonburi FC: the story of the match
38' — Ratchaburi FC took the lead: 1-0. S. van Wermeskerken scored it. Half time: 1-0.
61' — Chonburi FC equalised: 1-1. Stênio Júnior scored it. 75' — Chonburi FC completed the turnaround: 1-2. K. Linares scored it. Chonburi FC won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Ratchaburi FCDrawChonburi FC
Pre-match model estimate: Ratchaburi FC 62%, draw 20%, Chonburi FC 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Ratchaburi FC win in 62% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Chonburi FC win 18%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Chonburi FC had a goal ruled out in the 16th minute. Ratchaburi FC took the lead on 38 minutes thanks to S. van Wermeskerken, set up by R. Žulj. It was Ratchaburi FC 1-0 Chonburi FC at half-time.
Chonburi FC drew level at 1-1 on 61 minutes thanks to Stênio Júnior, set up by Y. Burapha. Chonburi FC completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 75 minutes thanks to K. Linares, set up by Negueba.
The statistics
Corners finished 6-1. Ratchaburi FC produced 55 dangerous attacks to Chonburi FC's 37.
What the result means
Ratchaburi FC stay 4th on 10 points. The result lifts Chonburi FC to 15th with 3 points, up from 16th. Chonburi FC end a run of 6 straight defeats.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
