Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Racing Ferrol
L. Diaz
E. Pujol
E. Monjonell
G. Novoa
A. Ramon
R. Arroyo
V. Esquerdo
J. Bernal
E. Bujan
R. Alcaina
D. Ojeda
SD Ponferradina
A. Dominguez
Koke
E. Undabarrena
A. Jelbat
A. Roig
O. Vacas
B. Valle
C. Calderon
J. de Leon
P. Munoz
Slavy
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 0-0.
Story
Racing Ferrol vs SD Ponferradina: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Racing FerrolDrawSD Ponferradina
Pre-match model estimate: Racing Ferrol 43%, draw 29%, SD Ponferradina 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Racing Ferrol win in 43% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and SD Ponferradina win 28%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 41%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Racing Ferrol had 15 shots (8 on target) to SD Ponferradina's 6 (2). Corners finished 12-2. SD Ponferradina's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 126 for Racing Ferrol, 80 for SD Ponferradina.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for SD Ponferradina: 5 matches now. Across 10 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Racing Ferrol, 4 wins for SD Ponferradina and 3 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera Federacion, Group 2
