Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Borneo FC Samarinda beat PSS Sleman 2-1 in Super League.
Venue: Maguwoharjo Stadium.
In our records PSS Sleman and Borneo FC Samarinda have met 10 times: PSS Sleman won 3, 2 ended level and Borneo FC Samarinda won 5.
Their latest meeting (): Borneo FC Samarinda 1-0 PSS Sleman.
Match decisions & VAR
42'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
43'Red cardPSS SlemanDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Squad status
Line-ups not announced yet. Official line-ups are usually announced about 1 hour before kick-off.
No injured or suspended players reported for this match (checked ).
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Borneo FC Samarinda won 1-2.
Story
PSS Sleman vs Borneo FC Samarinda: the story of the match
38' — Borneo FC Samarinda took the lead: 0-1. 43' — PSS Sleman had a player sent off. Half time: 0-1.
75' — Borneo FC Samarinda extended the lead: 0-2. 86' — PSS Sleman pulled one back: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. After 46' the momentum swung to Borneo FC Samarinda. After 76' the momentum swung to PSS Sleman. After 91' the momentum swung to Borneo FC Samarinda. Borneo FC Samarinda won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
PSS SlemanDrawBorneo FC Samarinda
Pre-match model estimate: PSS Sleman 31%, draw 25%, Borneo FC Samarinda 44%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
PSS SlemanBorneo FC Samarinda
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min3153
Last 15 min5139
Recorded from minute 45.
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): PSS Sleman win in 31% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Borneo FC Samarinda win 44%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 3.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Borneo FC Samarinda took the lead on 38 minutes. PSS Sleman had a player sent off on 43 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, Borneo FC Samarinda in front.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards Borneo FC Samarinda. Borneo FC Samarinda extended their lead to 2-0 on 75 minutes. PSS Sleman took over after the 76th minute, pinning Borneo FC Samarinda back. Late on, in the 86th minute, PSS Sleman pulled one back to make it 1-2.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 3-9, 3-7 on target. Corners finished 6-5.
What the result means
PSS Sleman remain 16th, now with 4 points. Borneo FC Samarinda climb from 13th to 12th on 9 points. PSS Sleman have now scored in 11 consecutive matches. Borneo FC Samarinda have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
Coming up
PSS Sleman's next match is away to Garuda Yaksa FC on 1 November. Borneo FC Samarinda visit PSIM Yogyakarta next, on 1 November in the Super League.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Super League
