58' — PSV Eindhoven took the lead: 0-1. Guus Til scored it. PSV Eindhoven won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
PortoDrawPSV Eindhoven
Pre-match model estimate: Porto 43%, draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
PSV Eindhoven took the lead in the 58th minute: Guus Til.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 12-16, 4-3 on target. PSV Eindhoven's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 131 for PSV Eindhoven, 87 for Porto.
What it means
Porto slip to 34th (0 points), having started the day 30th. PSV Eindhoven climb from 26th to 18th on 4 points. Porto's run of 5 matches with a goal comes to an end. PSV Eindhoven beat Porto for the first time since 1988.
Coming up
Next up for Porto: home to Academico de Viseu FC on Wednesday 28 October. PSV Eindhoven's next match is at home against Willem II Tilburg on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
UEFA Champions League
