Portadown FC vs Linfield FC: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
48' — Portadown FC took the lead: 1-0. B. Kennedy scored from the penalty spot. 55' — Linfield FC equalised: 1-1. R. Brennan scored it. 80' — Linfield FC completed the turnaround: 1-2. M. Fitzpatrick scored it. Linfield FC won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Portadown FCDrawLinfield FC
Pre-match model estimate: Portadown FC 14%, draw 20%, Linfield FC 66%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Portadown FC win in 14% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Linfield FC win 66%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 0-1 (12%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between Portadown FC and Linfield FC.
Portadown FC took the lead in the 48th minute: B. Kennedy from the penalty spot. R. Brennan equalised for Linfield FC at 1-1 after 55 minutes. Linfield FC completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 80 minutes thanks to M. Fitzpatrick.
The statistics
Corners finished 4-6. Dangerous attacks: 54 for Linfield FC, 30 for Portadown FC.
The bigger picture
Portadown FC remain 11th, now with 8 points. Linfield FC stay 2nd on 32 points. Linfield FC are now unbeaten in 12 matches.
Premiership
