45' — Port Vale took the lead: 1-0. K. Dempsey scored it. Half time: 1-0.
Port Vale won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Port ValeDrawGrimsby Town
Pre-match model estimate: Port Vale 43%, draw 28%, Grimsby Town 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Port Vale took the lead in the 45th minute: K. Dempsey, set up by J. Headley. Half-time: 1-0, Port Vale in front.
The bigger picture
Grimsby Town have now gone 5 matches without a win.
Next fixtures
Next up for Port Vale: home to Accrington Stanley on Saturday 14 November. Grimsby Town's next match is at home against Nottingham Forest U21 on 10 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League Two
