70' — Port Vale took the lead: 1-0. George Byers scored from the penalty spot. Port Vale won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Port ValeDrawExeter City
Pre-match model estimate: Port Vale 37%, draw 35%, Exeter City 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
League Two
