PFK Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
83' — PFK Levski Sofia took the lead: 1-0. Stivan Stoyanchov scored it. PFK Levski Sofia won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
PFK Levski SofiaDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
Pre-match model estimate: PFK Levski Sofia 48%, draw 27%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): PFK Levski Sofia win in 48% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Jagiellonia Bialystok win 25%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 47%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
PFK Levski Sofia – Jagiellonia Bialystok match report
PFK Levski Sofia had 7 shots (5 on target) to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 2 (2). PFK Levski Sofia won 4 corners, Jagiellonia Bialystok 5.
What the result means
The result lifts PFK Levski Sofia to 10th with 7 points, up from 17th. Jagiellonia Bialystok drop from 27th to 29th on 3 points. PFK Levski Sofia extend their unbeaten run to 7 matches. The result ends Jagiellonia Bialystok's run of 3 straight wins.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
