Penicuik Athletic FC vs Clyde FC: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 43' — Clyde FC took the lead: 0-1. James Hilton scored it. Half time: 0-1.
74' — Penicuik Athletic FC equalised: 1-1. Daryl Healy scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Penicuik Athletic FCDrawClyde FC
Pre-match model estimate: Penicuik Athletic FC 56%, draw 18%, Clyde FC 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Penicuik Athletic FCClyde FC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min00
Last 15 min00
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2 (no dangerous-attack data for this match).
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Penicuik Athletic FC win in 56% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Clyde FC win 26%. Average goals 4.3; the most likely score is 2-1 (8%); both teams score in 76%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
