49' — Pendikspor took the lead: 1-0. Emrah Başsan scored it. 60' — Vanspor FK equalised: 1-1. Jurgen Bardhi scored it. 87' — Mesut Özdemir of Pendikspor was sent off. 89' — Vanspor FK completed the turnaround: 1-2. Muhammed Furkan Özhan scored from the penalty spot. It came in the closing minutes. Vanspor FK won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
PendiksporDrawVanspor FK
Pre-match model estimate: Pendikspor 55%, draw 24%, Vanspor FK 21%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Pendikspor took the lead on 49 minutes thanks to Emrah Başsan, set up by Hakan Yeşil. Jurgen Bardhi equalised for Vanspor FK at 1-1 after 60 minutes. Pendikspor had a player sent off on 87 minutes: Mesut Özdemir. Muhammed Furkan Özhan turned the game around for Vanspor FK at 2-1 after 89 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 2-7.
What it means
The wait for a win goes on for Pendikspor: 5 matches now. A 6-game wait for victory is over for Vanspor FK. Vanspor FK beat Pendikspor for the first time since 2021.
TFF 1. League
