Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor: the story of the match
28' — Pendikspor took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
56' — Pendikspor had a player sent off. 58' — Kayserispor equalised: 1-1. 90' — Kayserispor completed the turnaround: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Pendikspor equalised: 2-2. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
PendiksporDrawKayserispor
Pre-match model estimate: Pendikspor 22%, draw 23%, Kayserispor 55%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Pendikspor win in 22% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Kayserispor win 55%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.0 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Pendikspor – Kayserispor match report
Updated:
Neither Pendikspor nor Kayserispor could find a winner in a 2-2 draw. The half-time score was 1-0.
The story of the match
Pendikspor had a goal ruled out in the 24th minute. Just 4 minutes later (28') Pendikspor took the lead. It was Pendikspor 1-0 Kayserispor at half-time.
Pendikspor had a player sent off on 56 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (58') Kayserispor drew level at 1-1. Late on, in the 90th minute, Kayserispor completed the turnaround at 2-1. Late on, in the 90th minute, Pendikspor drew level at 2-2.
What the numbers say
Pendikspor had 5 shots (2 on target) to Kayserispor's 10 (7). Pendikspor won 5 corners, Kayserispor 7. Kayserispor produced 148 dangerous attacks to Pendikspor's 77.
What the result means
The result lifts Pendikspor to 17th with 11 points, up from 18th. Kayserispor drop from 1st to 2nd on 27 points. Pendikspor end a run of 3 straight defeats. Kayserispor extend their unbeaten run to 8 matches. Across 4 meetings in our records: 1 win for Pendikspor, 2 wins for Kayserispor and 1 draw.
TFF 1. League
