Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Paysandu FC beat Colon Montevideo 3-2 in Segunda Division.
In our records Paysandu FC and Colon Montevideo have met 2 times: Paysandu FC won 1, 0 ended level and Colon Montevideo won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Colon Montevideo 2-3 Paysandu FC.
Match decisions & VAR
86'Penalty awardedColon MontevideoDecision
89'Penalty awardedColon MontevideoDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Paysandu FC won 3-2.
Story
Paysandu FC vs Colon Montevideo: the story of the match
Paysandu FC started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 45' — Paysandu FC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0, with Paysandu FC applying more of the pressure.
77' — Paysandu FC extended the lead: 2-0. 87' — Colon Montevideo pulled one back: 2-1. It came in the closing minutes. 89' — Colon Montevideo equalised: 2-2. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Paysandu FC went back in front: 3-2. It came in the closing minutes. Paysandu FC won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Paysandu FCDrawColon Montevideo
Pre-match model estimate: Paysandu FC 35%, draw 30%, Colon Montevideo 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Paysandu FCColon Montevideo
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min2231
Last 15 min1237
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Paysandu FC win in 35% of the simulated matches, 30% end level and Colon Montevideo win 35%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 42%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Paysandu FC started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. Paysandu FC took the lead on 45 minutes. Paysandu FC led 1-0 at the break.
Paysandu FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 77 minutes. Late on, in the 87th minute, Colon Montevideo pulled one back to make it 2-1. Just 2 minutes later (89') Colon Montevideo drew level at 2-2. Just 1 minutes later (90') Paysandu FC went 3-2 up.
What the result means
Paysandu FC move on to 7 points. The result takes Colon Montevideo to 9 points. Colon Montevideo's 3-match unbeaten run is over.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
