Parma Calcio 1913 vs Bologna: the story of the match
9' — Abdoulaye Ndiaye of Parma Calcio 1913 was sent off. Half time: 0-0.
53' — Bologna took the lead: 0-1. Arthur Theate scored it. 73' — Bologna extended the lead: 0-2. Riccardo Orsolini scored from the penalty spot. 81' — Parma Calcio 1913 pulled one back: 1-2. Vincent Sierro scored from the penalty spot. Bologna won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Parma Calcio 1913DrawBologna
Pre-match model estimate: Parma Calcio 1913 19%, draw 25%, Bologna 56%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Parma Calcio 1913 win in 19% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Bologna win 56%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 44%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Parma Calcio 1913 were a man down from the 9th minute, when Abdoulaye Ndiaye was sent off. The first half ended 0-0.
Bologna took the lead on 53 minutes thanks to Arthur Theate, set up by Nicolò Cambiaghi. Riccardo Orsolini made it 2-0 for Bologna after 73 minutes. Parma Calcio 1913 pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 81 minutes thanks to Vincent Sierro from the penalty spot.
Match statistics
Parma Calcio 1913 had 2 shots (1 on target) to Bologna's 15 (9). Corners finished 1-15. 13 saves came from the Parma Calcio 1913 goalkeeper. Bologna produced 226 dangerous attacks to Parma Calcio 1913's 54.
What the result means
Parma Calcio 1913 drop from 15th to 16th on 8 points. The result lifts Bologna to 8th with 17 points, up from 9th. Bologna have now won 4 in a row.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
