Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
Panthrakikos FC vs Asteras Tripolis B: the story of the match
23' — Panthrakikos FC took the lead: 1-0. 35' — Asteras Tripolis B equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
66' — Panthrakikos FC went back in front: 2-1. 90' — Asteras Tripolis B equalised: 2-2. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Panthrakikos FCDrawAsteras Tripolis B
Pre-match model estimate: Panthrakikos FC 51%, draw 27%, Asteras Tripolis B 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Panthrakikos FC win in 51% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Asteras Tripolis B win 22%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-0 (15%); both teams score in 42%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Panthrakikos FC took the lead on 23 minutes. Asteras Tripolis B drew level at 1-1 on 35 minutes. It was Panthrakikos FC 1-1 Asteras Tripolis B at half-time.
Panthrakikos FC went 2-1 up on 66 minutes. The officials disallowed a Asteras Tripolis B goal on 84 minutes. Just 6 minutes later (90') Asteras Tripolis B drew level at 2-2.
What the numbers say
On target it was 5-5, from 19 and 20 attempts respectively. Corners finished 5-4. Dangerous attacks: 79 for Panthrakikos FC, 48 for Asteras Tripolis B.
What it means
Panthrakikos FC slip to 9th (10 points), having started the day 7th. Asteras Tripolis B climb from 11th to 10th on 9 points. The wait for a win goes on for Panthrakikos FC: 5 matches now. Asteras Tripolis B are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for Panthrakikos FC: away at Nestos Chrysoupoli FC on Sunday 1 November. Asteras Tripolis B's next match is at home against Pyrgos AFC on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Super League 2
