Orebro SK vs Falkenbergs FF: the story of the match
15' — Orebro SK took the lead: 1-0. An own goal by L. Borgström. Half time: 1-0.
64' — A. Miftari of Falkenbergs FF was sent off. Orebro SK won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Orebro SKDrawFalkenbergs FF
Pre-match model estimate: Orebro SK 38%, draw 24%, Falkenbergs FF 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Orebro SK win in 38% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Falkenbergs FF win 38%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 61%. About 10.2 corners on average.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Orebro SK took the lead in the 15th minute: an own goal from L. Borgström. Half-time: 1-0, Orebro SK in front.
Falkenbergs FF had a player sent off on 64 minutes: A. Miftari.
What the numbers say
On target it was 4-3, from 7 and 7 attempts respectively.
What the result means
The result lifts Orebro SK to 13th with 29 points, up from 15th. Falkenbergs FF stay 2nd on 51 points. Orebro SK end a run of 5 matches without a win. Orebro SK ended Falkenbergs FF's unbeaten run of 5 matches.
What’s next
Next up for Orebro SK: away at Landskrona BoIS on Monday 2 November. Falkenbergs FF's next match is at home against Sandvikens IF on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
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