Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
63' — Kataller Toyama took the lead: 0-1. S. Fuseya scored it. 64' — Kataller Toyama extended the lead: 0-2. K. Tsuboi scored it. 90' — Kataller Toyama extended the lead: 0-3. Y. Kunitake scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Kataller Toyama won 0-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Omiya Ardija win in 49% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Kataller Toyama win 26%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 50%. About 10.5 corners on average.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The officials disallowed a Omiya Ardija goal on 23 minutes. Half-time: 0-0 between Omiya Ardija and Kataller Toyama.
Omiya Ardija had a goal ruled out in the 61st minute. Kataller Toyama took the lead in the 63rd minute: S. Fuseya, set up by K. Ogawa. Just 1 minutes later (64') Kataller Toyama extended their lead to 2-0, K. Tsuboi on target, set up by K. Tsuboi. Late on, in the 90th minute, Kataller Toyama extended their lead to 3-0 through Y. Kunitake, set up by S. Mizoguchi.
The statistics
Corners finished 7-3. Dangerous attacks: 58 for Omiya Ardija, 33 for Kataller Toyama.
What the result means
Omiya Ardija's run of 6 matches with a goal comes to an end. Kataller Toyama are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
What’s next
Omiya Ardija's next match is away to Vegalta Sendai on 31 October. Kataller Toyama visit Albirex Niigata next, on 31 October in the J2 League.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
J2 League
