Oldham Athletic vs Leeds United U21: the story of the match
27' — Oldham Athletic took the lead: 1-0. N. Chilvers scored from the penalty spot. 32' — Leeds United U21 equalised: 1-1. C. Mills scored it. Half time: 1-1.
51' — Leeds United U21 completed the turnaround: 1-2. C. Njinko scored it. 53' — Oldham Athletic equalised: 2-2. K. Drummond scored it. 66' — Oldham Athletic completed the turnaround: 3-2. J. Hawkes scored it. 68' — Oldham Athletic extended the lead: 4-2. K. Payne scored it. Oldham Athletic won 4-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Oldham AthleticDrawLeeds United U21
Pre-match model estimate: Oldham Athletic 71%, draw 16%, Leeds United U21 13%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Oldham Athletic took the lead in the 27th minute: N. Chilvers from the penalty spot. Just 5 minutes later (32') Leeds United U21 drew level at 1-1, C. Mills on target. It was Oldham Athletic 1-1 Leeds United U21 at half-time.
Leeds United U21 completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 51 minutes thanks to C. Njinko, set up by C. Mills. Oldham Athletic drew level at 2-2 on 53 minutes thanks to K. Drummond, set up by A. Wilson. Oldham Athletic completed the turnaround at 3-2 in the 66th minute: J. Hawkes. K. Payne made it 4-2 for Oldham Athletic after 68 minutes, set up by J. Hawkes.
Coming up
Next up for Oldham Athletic: away at Barnsley on Wednesday 11 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
EFL Trophy, Northern Group F
