Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Olancho FC and Estrella Roja FC drew 3-3 in National League.
Venue: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Match details
Venue
Estadio Juan Ramón Brevé Vargas, Juticalpa
Match decisions & VAR
60'Goal standsOlancho FCVAR review · goalDecision
85'Goal disallowedEstrella Roja FCDecision · Score 3-2
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Squad status
Line-ups not announced yet. Official line-ups are usually announced about 1 hour before kick-off.
No injured or suspended players reported for this match (checked ).
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 3-3.
Story
Olancho FC vs Estrella Roja FC: the story of the match
39' — Olancho FC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
52' — Estrella Roja FC equalised: 1-1. 56' — Olancho FC went back in front: 2-1. 70' — Olancho FC extended the lead: 3-1. 79' — Estrella Roja FC pulled one back: 3-2. 89' — Estrella Roja FC equalised: 3-3. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 3-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Olancho FCDrawEstrella Roja FC
Pre-match model estimate: Olancho FC 53%, draw 23%, Estrella Roja FC 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Olancho FC win in 53% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Estrella Roja FC win 24%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 59%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Olancho FC – Estrella Roja FC match report
Updated:
Olancho FC and Estrella Roja FC shared the points in a 3-3 draw in the National League. The half-time score was 1-0.
The story of the match
Olancho FC took the lead on 39 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, Olancho FC in front.
Estrella Roja FC drew level at 1-1 on 52 minutes. Olancho FC went 2-1 up on 56 minutes. VAR checked and confirmed the Olancho FC goal on 60 minutes. Olancho FC extended their lead to 3-1 on 70 minutes. Estrella Roja FC pulled one back to make it 3-2 on 79 minutes.
Estrella Roja FC had a goal ruled out in the 85th minute. Just 4 minutes later (89') Estrella Roja FC drew level at 3-3.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 6-5, 4-5 on target. Olancho FC won 3 corners, Estrella Roja FC 5. Olancho FC produced 46 dangerous attacks to Estrella Roja FC's 31.
What the result means
In the table, Olancho FC are 6th with 13 points. Estrella Roja FC sit 7th on 13 points in the standings. Olancho FC have now gone 8 matches without a win.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
