OFI Crete FC vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: the story of the match
35' — Bayer 04 Leverkusen took the lead: 0-1. Jonas Hofmann scored it. 38' — Bayer 04 Leverkusen extended the lead: 0-2. Jonas Hofmann scored it. Half time: 0-2.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
OFI Crete FCDrawBayer 04 Leverkusen
Pre-match model estimate: OFI Crete FC 23%, draw 22%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 55%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): OFI Crete FC win in 23% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Bayer 04 Leverkusen win 55%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen took the lead on 35 minutes thanks to Jonas Hofmann. Bayer 04 Leverkusen extended their lead to 2-0 in the 38th minute: Jonas Hofmann. It was OFI Crete FC 0-2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen at half-time.
What the numbers say
On target it was 2-14, from 3 and 20 attempts respectively. Corners finished 5-10. Dangerous attacks: 72 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 28 for OFI Crete FC.
The bigger picture
OFI Crete FC slip to 26th (3 points), having started the day 18th. Bayer 04 Leverkusen remain 2nd, now with 9 points. OFI Crete FC have lost 4 in a row. That is 6 straight wins for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
Coming up
Next up for OFI Crete FC: away at AEL Larissa 1964 on Wednesday 28 October. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's next match is at home against 1. FC Nurnberg on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
