17' — D. Zuppel of Novara was sent off. 43' — AS Cittadella took the lead: 0-1. A. Barberis scored it. Half time: 0-1.
87' — AS Cittadella extended the lead: 0-2. E. Ignatov scored it. It came in the closing minutes. AS Cittadella won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
NovaraDrawAS Cittadella
Pre-match model estimate: Novara 20%, draw 32%, AS Cittadella 48%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Novara were a man down from the 17th minute, when D. Zuppel was sent off. A. Barberis opened the scoring for AS Cittadella after 43 minutes, set up by D. Mensah. It was Novara 0-1 AS Cittadella at half-time.
AS Cittadella extended their lead to 2-0 on 87 minutes thanks to E. Ignatov.
Match statistics
On target it was 0-2, from 3 and 7 attempts respectively. Corners finished 1-6. Dangerous attacks: 249 for AS Cittadella, 91 for Novara.
What the result means
AS Cittadella have now scored in 7 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.