Notts County vs Nottingham Forest U21: the story of the match
11' — Notts County took the lead: 1-0. L. Smyth scored it. Half time: 1-0.
66' — Notts County extended the lead: 2-0. J. Bedeau scored it. 69' — Notts County extended the lead: 3-0. L. Ndlovu scored it. 74' — Notts County extended the lead: 4-0. C. Grant scored it. 79' — Notts County extended the lead: 5-0. C. Roberts scored it. 92' — Nottingham Forest U21 pulled one back: 5-1. B. Sanneh scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Notts County won 5-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Notts CountyDrawNottingham Forest U21
Pre-match model estimate: Notts County 75%, draw 15%, Nottingham Forest U21 10%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Notts County took the lead on 11 minutes thanks to L. Smyth, set up by M. Palmer. Notts County led 1-0 at the break.
Notts County extended their lead to 2-0 in the 66th minute: J. Bedeau, set up by L. Smyth. Notts County extended their lead to 3-0 in the 69th minute: L. Ndlovu, set up by L. Smyth. C. Grant made it 4-0 for Notts County after 74 minutes. Just 5 minutes later (79') Notts County extended their lead to 5-0, C. Roberts on target, set up by L. Smyth. B. Sanneh reduced the deficit for Nottingham Forest U21 to 5-1 after 92 minutes, set up by A. Whitehall.
The bigger picture
Nottingham Forest U21 have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
Coming up
Notts County's next match is away to Burton Albion on 10 November. Nottingham Forest U21 visit Grimsby Town next, on 10 November in the EFL Trophy, Northern Group F.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
EFL Trophy, Northern Group F
