Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
NK Sencur beat NK Vipava 4-1 in 3.SNL.
In our records NK Sencur and NK Vipava have met 4 times: NK Sencur won 1, 3 ended level and NK Vipava won 0.
Their latest meeting (): NK Vipava 1-1 NK Sencur.
Match details
Coaches
K. Gašper · A. Kodelja
Match decisions & VAR
32'Penalty awardedNK VipavaDecision
72'Penalty awardedNK SencurDecision
72'Red cardNK VipavaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: NK Sencur won 4-1.
Story
NK Sencur vs NK Vipava: the story of the match
33' — NK Vipava took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
57' — NK Sencur equalised: 1-1. 72' — NK Vipava had a player sent off. 73' — NK Sencur completed the turnaround: 2-1. 75' — NK Sencur extended the lead: 3-1. 84' — NK Sencur extended the lead: 4-1. NK Sencur won 4-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
NK SencurDrawNK Vipava
Pre-match model estimate: NK Sencur 82%, draw 11%, NK Vipava 7%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): NK Sencur win in 82% of the simulated matches, 11% end level and NK Vipava win 7%. Average goals 3.9; the most likely score is 3-0 (10%); both teams score in 52%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
NK Vipava took the lead on 33 minutes. It was NK Sencur 0-1 NK Vipava at half-time.
NK Sencur drew level at 1-1 on 57 minutes. NK Vipava had a player sent off on 72 minutes. Just 1 minutes later (73') NK Sencur completed the turnaround at 2-1. Just 2 minutes later (75') NK Sencur extended their lead to 3-1. NK Sencur extended their lead to 4-1 on 84 minutes.
Match statistics
NK Sencur had 10 shots (3 on target) to NK Vipava's 4 (4). Corners finished 5-3. Dangerous attacks: 779 for NK Sencur, 285 for NK Vipava.
What it means
NK Sencur are now unbeaten in 5 matches. The wait for a win goes on for NK Vipava: 5 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
