Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
NK Sencur and NK Posavje Krsko drew 1-1 in Kupa.
Match decisions & VAR
37'Penalty awardedNK SencurDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
NK Sencur vs NK Posavje Krsko: the story of the match
38' — NK Sencur took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
77' — NK Posavje Krsko equalised: 1-1. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
NK SencurDrawNK Posavje Krsko
Pre-match model estimate: NK Sencur 32%, draw 24%, NK Posavje Krsko 44%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): NK Sencur win in 32% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and NK Posavje Krsko win 44%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 64%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
NK Sencur – NK Posavje Krsko match report
Updated:
NK Sencur and NK Posavje Krsko shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Kupa. It was 1-0 at half-time.
The story of the match
NK Sencur took the lead on 38 minutes. It was NK Sencur 1-0 NK Posavje Krsko at half-time.
NK Posavje Krsko drew level at 1-1 on 77 minutes.
The statistics
Corners finished 4-8. Dangerous attacks: 75 for NK Posavje Krsko, 49 for NK Sencur.
The bigger picture
NK Sencur have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. The wait for a win goes on for NK Posavje Krsko: 4 matches now.
What’s next
Next up for NK Posavje Krsko: home to NK Dravinja Kostroj on Wednesday 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.