Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
NK Kustosija Zagreb beat NK Dubrava Zagreb 2-1 in 1. NL.
In our records NK Dubrava Zagreb and NK Kustosija Zagreb have met 8 times: NK Dubrava Zagreb won 2, 3 ended level and NK Kustosija Zagreb won 3.
Their latest meeting (): NK Kustosija Zagreb 0-1 NK Dubrava Zagreb.
Match decisions & VAR
40'Penalty awardedNK Kustosija ZagrebDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: NK Kustosija Zagreb won 1-2.
Story
NK Dubrava Zagreb vs NK Kustosija Zagreb: the story of the match
5' — NK Kustosija Zagreb took the lead: 0-1. 9' — NK Dubrava Zagreb equalised: 1-1. 41' — NK Kustosija Zagreb went back in front: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
NK Kustosija Zagreb won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
NK Dubrava ZagrebDrawNK Kustosija Zagreb
Pre-match model estimate: NK Dubrava Zagreb 35%, draw 28%, NK Kustosija Zagreb 37%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): NK Dubrava Zagreb win in 35% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and NK Kustosija Zagreb win 37%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
NK Dubrava Zagreb – NK Kustosija Zagreb match report
NK Kustosija Zagreb took the lead on 5 minutes. Just 4 minutes later (9') NK Dubrava Zagreb drew level at 1-1. NK Kustosija Zagreb went 2-1 up on 41 minutes. It was NK Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 NK Kustosija Zagreb at half-time.
The statistics
On target it was 4-1, from 4 and 4 attempts respectively. NK Dubrava Zagreb won 6 corners, NK Kustosija Zagreb 3. 5 saves came from the NK Kustosija Zagreb goalkeeper.
What the result means
NK Dubrava Zagreb drop from 10th to 13th on 11 points. The result lifts NK Kustosija Zagreb to 10th with 13 points, up from 15th. It is NK Kustosija Zagreb's first win against NK Dubrava Zagreb since 2022.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
