Newcastle United vs Bournemouth: the story of the match
9' — Bournemouth took the lead: 0-1. M. Tavernier scored it. 35' — Bournemouth extended the lead: 0-2. An own goal by M. Thiaw. 37' — Newcastle United pulled one back: 1-2. H. Barnes scored it. Half time: 1-2.
88' — Newcastle United equalised: 2-2. J. Ramsey scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
Pre-match model estimate: Newcastle United 30%, draw 27%, Bournemouth 43%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Bournemouth took the lead in the 9th minute: M. Tavernier. Bournemouth extended their lead to 2-0 on 35 minutes thanks to an own goal from M. Thiaw. Just 2 minutes later (37') Newcastle United pulled one back to make it 1-2, H. Barnes on target, set up by L. Hall. It was Newcastle United 1-2 Bournemouth at half-time.
Late on, in the 88th minute, Newcastle United drew level at 2-2 through J. Ramsey.
The bigger picture
Across 6 meetings in our records: 2 wins for Bournemouth and 4 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
English Premier League
