Neuchatel Xamax vs FC Aarau, 30/10/2026 19:15 – live score
Switzerland
Challenge League Round 12
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- Neuchatel XamaxDWLLW
- FC AarauLWLLLScored in 12 matches in a row
Recent meetings
More- Challenge LeagueFC Aarau2 - 1Neuchatel Xamax
Challenge League
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Winterthur | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | Neuchatel Xamax | 11 | -2 | 16 |
| 5 | SC Kriens | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Aarau | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 7 | Etoile Carouge FC | 11 | -5 | 12 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Neuchatel Xamax and FC Aarau meet on in Challenge League.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Neuchatel Xamax vs FC Aarau: preview
Neuchatel Xamax have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 8 of Neuchatel Xamax's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. FC Aarau have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. FC Aarau have scored in 12 matches in a row. 9 of FC Aarau's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 9.
Neuchatel Xamax are in position 4 with 16 points, FC Aarau in position 6 with 12 points. A win could lift FC Aarau as high as position 5.
Our pre-match model estimate: Neuchatel Xamax 36%, draw 23%, FC Aarau 41%.
Table by result
- A win can lift them as high as 5.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 7.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Neuchatel Xamax win in 36% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and FC Aarau win 41%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 65%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
