Nea Salamina Famagusta FC vs Pafos FC: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Nea Salamina Famagusta FCDrawPafos FC
Pre-match model estimate: Nea Salamina Famagusta FC 18%, draw 23%, Pafos FC 59%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Nea Salamina Famagusta FC win in 18% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Pafos FC win 59%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 0-1 (12%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Nea Salamina Famagusta FC slip to 12th (5 points), having started the day 11th. Pafos FC remain 5th, now with 12 points. Nea Salamina Famagusta FC's run of 11 matches with a goal comes to an end. The wait for a win goes on for Pafos FC: 4 matches now. Across 11 meetings in our records: 2 wins for Nea Salamina Famagusta FC, 7 wins for Pafos FC and 2 draws.
First Division
