Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
ND Ilirija beat NK Bilje 3-0 in 2nd SNL.
In our records ND Ilirija and NK Bilje have met 10 times: ND Ilirija won 4, 2 ended level and NK Bilje won 4.
Their latest meeting (): ND Ilirija 1-0 NK Bilje.
Match decisions & VAR
79'Penalty awardedND IlirijaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: ND Ilirija won 3-0.
Story
ND Ilirija vs NK Bilje: the story of the match
ND Ilirija started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 34' — ND Ilirija took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0, with ND Ilirija applying more of the pressure.
64' — ND Ilirija extended the lead: 2-0. 81' — ND Ilirija extended the lead: 3-0. ND Ilirija won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ND IlirijaDrawNK Bilje
Pre-match model estimate: ND Ilirija 55%, draw 23%, NK Bilje 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
ND IlirijaNK Bilje
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min390
Last 15 min4215
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): ND Ilirija win in 55% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and NK Bilje win 22%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 54%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ND Ilirija – NK Bilje match report
Updated:
A 3-0 rout: ND Ilirija swept NK Bilje aside. The half-time score was 1-0.
The story of the match
The early pressure came from ND Ilirija, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. ND Ilirija took the lead on 34 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, ND Ilirija in front.
ND Ilirija extended their lead to 2-0 on 64 minutes. ND Ilirija extended their lead to 3-0 on 81 minutes.
Match statistics
ND Ilirija had 7 shots (7 on target) to NK Bilje's 3 (2). ND Ilirija won 3 corners, NK Bilje 4. ND Ilirija produced 137 dangerous attacks to NK Bilje's 45.
The bigger picture
The result lifts ND Ilirija to 4th with 19 points, up from 9th. NK Bilje drop from 5th to 6th on 18 points. NK Bilje's run of 5 matches with a goal comes to an end.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
2nd SNL
