Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
FC Ryukyu beat Nara Club 3-1 in J3 League.
Venue: Konoike Athletic Stadium.
In our records Nara Club and FC Ryukyu have met 6 times: Nara Club won 4, 0 ended level and FC Ryukyu won 2.
Their latest meeting (): FC Ryukyu 0-2 Nara Club.
Match decisions & VAR
77'Goal disallowedNara ClubDecision · Score 1-3
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FC Ryukyu won 1-3.
Story
Nara Club vs FC Ryukyu: the story of the match
16' — FC Ryukyu took the lead: 0-1. 26' — Nara Club equalised: 1-1. 43' — FC Ryukyu went back in front: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
67' — FC Ryukyu extended the lead: 1-3. FC Ryukyu won 1-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Nara ClubDrawFC Ryukyu
Pre-match model estimate: Nara Club 48%, draw 23%, FC Ryukyu 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Nara Club win in 48% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and FC Ryukyu win 29%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 61%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 3.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Nara Club – FC Ryukyu match report
Updated:
A 3-1 away win for FC Ryukyu against Nara Club in the J3 League. The half-time score was 1-2.
The story of the match
FC Ryukyu took the lead on 16 minutes. Nara Club drew level at 1-1 on 26 minutes. FC Ryukyu went 2-1 up on 43 minutes. FC Ryukyu led 2-1 at the break.
FC Ryukyu extended their lead to 3-1 on 67 minutes. Nara Club had a goal ruled out in the 77th minute.
What the numbers say
Nara Club won 9 corners, FC Ryukyu 2.
What it means
Nara Club drop from 4th to 6th on 23 points. The result lifts FC Ryukyu to 9th with 20 points, up from 10th. FC Ryukyu have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
