Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Muangthong United beat Police Tero FC 4-1 in Thailand 2.League.
Venue: Thunderdome Stadium.
In our records Muangthong United and Police Tero FC have met 10 times: Muangthong United won 6, 0 ended level and Police Tero FC won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Muangthong United 3-1 Police Tero FC.
Match decisions & VAR
49'Red cardPolice Tero FCDecision
67'Penalty awardedMuangthong UnitedDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Muangthong United won 4-1.
Story
Muangthong United vs Police Tero FC: the story of the match
18' — Muangthong United took the lead: 1-0. 33' — Police Tero FC equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
49' — Police Tero FC had a player sent off. 70' — Muangthong United went back in front: 2-1. 83' — Muangthong United extended the lead: 3-1. 90' — Muangthong United extended the lead: 4-1. It came in the closing minutes. Muangthong United won 4-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Muangthong UnitedDrawPolice Tero FC
Pre-match model estimate: Muangthong United 57%, draw 24%, Police Tero FC 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Muangthong United win in 57% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Police Tero FC win 19%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 49%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Muangthong United took the lead on 18 minutes. Police Tero FC drew level at 1-1 on 33 minutes. It was Muangthong United 1-1 Police Tero FC at half-time.
Police Tero FC had a player sent off on 49 minutes. Muangthong United went 2-1 up on 70 minutes. Muangthong United extended their lead to 3-1 on 83 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, Muangthong United extended their lead to 4-1.
What the numbers say
Corners finished 4-5. Dangerous attacks: 190 for Muangthong United, 125 for Police Tero FC.
What it means
Muangthong United climb from 14th to 10th on 11 points. Police Tero FC slip to 12th (10 points), having started the day 10th. A 4-game wait for victory is over for Muangthong United.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
