Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
MSK Senec and TJ Kovo Belusa drew 2-2 in 3.Liga.
In our records MSK Senec and TJ Kovo Belusa have met 2 times: MSK Senec won 1, 1 ended level and TJ Kovo Belusa won 0.
Their latest meeting (): TJ Kovo Belusa 1-1 MSK Senec.
Match decisions & VAR
31'Penalty awardedMSK SenecDecision
31'Red cardTJ Kovo BelusaDecision
83'Red cardMSK SenecDecision
84'Red cardTJ Kovo BelusaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 2-2.
Story
MSK Senec vs TJ Kovo Belusa: the story of the match
12' — TJ Kovo Belusa took the lead: 0-1. 33' — MSK Senec equalised: 1-1. 33' — TJ Kovo Belusa had a player sent off. 45' — TJ Kovo Belusa went back in front: 1-2. Half time: 1-2.
83' — MSK Senec had a player sent off. 86' — TJ Kovo Belusa had a player sent off. 89' — MSK Senec equalised: 2-2. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
MSK SenecDrawTJ Kovo Belusa
Pre-match model estimate: MSK Senec 12%, draw 15%, TJ Kovo Belusa 73%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): MSK Senec win in 12% of the simulated matches, 15% end level and TJ Kovo Belusa win 73%. Average goals 3.8; the most likely score is 1-2 (9%); both teams score in 61%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
TJ Kovo Belusa took the lead on 12 minutes. MSK Senec drew level at 1-1 on 33 minutes. TJ Kovo Belusa were a man down from the 33rd minute. TJ Kovo Belusa went 2-1 up on 45 minutes. It was MSK Senec 1-2 TJ Kovo Belusa at half-time.
MSK Senec had a player sent off on 83 minutes. TJ Kovo Belusa had a player sent off on 86 minutes. Just 3 minutes later (89') MSK Senec drew level at 2-2.
Match statistics
MSK Senec won 5 corners, TJ Kovo Belusa 3.
The bigger picture
TJ Kovo Belusa have now gone 9 matches without a win. Across 3 meetings in our records: 1 win for MSK Senec and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
3.Liga
