Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Moreirense U23 beat Gil Vicente U23 2-0 in U23 Liga Next Gen.
Match decisions & VAR
48'Penalty awardedMoreirense U23Decision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Moreirense U23 won 2-0.
Story
Moreirense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23: the story of the match
Moreirense U23 started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 16' — Moreirense U23 took the lead: 1-0. 32' — Moreirense U23 extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0, with Moreirense U23 applying more of the pressure.
Moreirense U23 won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Moreirense U23DrawGil Vicente U23
Pre-match model estimate: Moreirense U23 56%, draw 22%, Gil Vicente U23 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Moreirense U23Gil Vicente U23
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1222
Last 15 min518
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Moreirense U23 win in 56% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Gil Vicente U23 win 22%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 55%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Moreirense U23 started on the front foot, pressing for the first 15 minutes. Moreirense U23 took the lead on 16 minutes. Moreirense U23 extended their lead to 2-0 on 32 minutes. Half-time: 2-0, Moreirense U23 in front.
The statistics
Moreirense U23 had 5 shots (4 on target) to Gil Vicente U23's 4 (1). Corners finished 7-3. Dangerous attacks: 146 for Moreirense U23, 51 for Gil Vicente U23.
What it means
Moreirense U23 climb from 9th to 7th on 15 points. Gil Vicente U23 remain 17th, now with 8 points. Moreirense U23 are now unbeaten in 8 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
