Montevideo City Torque vs Atletico MG: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
75' — Alan Franco of Atletico MG was sent off. 89' — Montevideo City Torque took the lead: 1-0. Kevin Silva scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Montevideo City Torque extended the lead: 2-0. Gary Kagelmacher scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Montevideo City Torque won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Montevideo City TorqueDrawAtletico MG
Pre-match model estimate: Montevideo City Torque 25%, draw 27%, Atletico MG 48%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Montevideo City Torque win in 25% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Atletico MG win 48%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 0-1 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Half-time: 0-0 between Montevideo City Torque and Atletico MG.
Atletico MG were a man down from the 75th minute, when Alan Franco was sent off for a second yellow card. Montevideo City Torque took the lead in the 89th minute: Kevin Silva, set up by Juan Quintana. Gary Kagelmacher made it 2-0 for Montevideo City Torque after 90 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 9-1. Montevideo City Torque produced 151 dangerous attacks to Atletico MG's 35.
The bigger picture
Montevideo City Torque ended Atletico MG's unbeaten run of 8 matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for Montevideo City Torque: away at Boston River on Sunday 1 November. Atletico MG's next match is at home against Cruzeiro EC on 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
