Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Alfreton Town FC beat Mickleover Sports 2-1 in FA Trophy.
In our records Mickleover Sports and Alfreton Town FC have met 3 times: Mickleover Sports won 0, 0 ended level and Alfreton Town FC won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Alfreton Town FC 2-0 Mickleover Sports.
Match decisions & VAR
35'Penalty awardedMickleover SportsDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Alfreton Town FC won 1-2.
Story
Mickleover Sports vs Alfreton Town FC: the story of the match
35' — Mickleover Sports took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
49' — Alfreton Town FC equalised: 1-1. 76' — Alfreton Town FC completed the turnaround: 1-2. Alfreton Town FC won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Mickleover SportsDrawAlfreton Town FC
Pre-match model estimate: Mickleover Sports 32%, draw 24%, Alfreton Town FC 44%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Mickleover Sports win in 32% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Alfreton Town FC win 44%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
