Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Zurrieq FC beat Mgarr United FC 1-0 in Challenge League.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Zurrieq FC won 0-1.
Story
Mgarr United FC vs Zurrieq FC: the story of the match
20' — Zurrieq FC took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
Zurrieq FC won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Mgarr United FCDrawZurrieq FC
Pre-match model estimate: Mgarr United FC 46%, draw 25%, Zurrieq FC 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Mgarr United FC win in 46% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Zurrieq FC win 29%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Zurrieq FC took the lead on 20 minutes. It was Mgarr United FC 0-1 Zurrieq FC at half-time.
The statistics
On target it was 2-3, from 6 and 4 attempts respectively. Mgarr United FC won 12 corners, Zurrieq FC 4. Mgarr United FC produced 69 dangerous attacks to Zurrieq FC's 42.
The bigger picture
Mgarr United FC drop from 4th to 6th on 9 points. The result lifts Zurrieq FC to 8th with 7 points, up from 12th. The result ends Mgarr United FC's run of 3 straight wins. Zurrieq FC have now scored in 4 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
