Pre-match model estimate: Merida AD 55%, draw 24%, CD Coria 21%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Merida AD win in 55% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and CD Coria win 21%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-0 (11%); both teams score in 52%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Merida AD – CD Coria match report
Updated:
Merida AD and CD Coria played out a goalless draw in the Primera Federacion.
Score by half
The halves went 0-0 and 0-0.
The statistics
The shot count read 4-8, 3-7 on target. Corners finished 3-6. Merida AD's goalkeeper made 7 saves. Dangerous attacks: 115 for Merida AD, 78 for CD Coria.
The bigger picture
Merida AD slip to 9th (13 points), having started the day 5th. CD Coria remain 17th, now with 9 points. Merida AD's winning streak stops at 3. Across 7 meetings in our records: 1 win for Merida AD, 1 win for CD Coria and 5 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
