Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Matsumoto Yamaga FC beat Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-0 in J3 League.
Venue: Sunpro Alwin.
In our records Matsumoto Yamaga FC and Thespakusatsu Gunma have met 10 times: Matsumoto Yamaga FC won 5, 1 ended level and Thespakusatsu Gunma won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Thespakusatsu Gunma 6-2 Matsumoto Yamaga FC.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Matsumoto Yamaga FC won 2-0.
Story
Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: the story of the match
4' — Matsumoto Yamaga FC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
90' — Matsumoto Yamaga FC extended the lead: 2-0. It came in the closing minutes. Matsumoto Yamaga FC won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Matsumoto Yamaga FCDrawThespakusatsu Gunma
Pre-match model estimate: Matsumoto Yamaga FC 50%, draw 25%, Thespakusatsu Gunma 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Matsumoto Yamaga FC win in 50% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Thespakusatsu Gunma win 25%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 3.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Matsumoto Yamaga FC – Thespakusatsu Gunma match report
Matsumoto Yamaga FC took the lead on 4 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, Matsumoto Yamaga FC in front.
Late on, in the 90th minute, Matsumoto Yamaga FC extended their lead to 2-0.
Match statistics
Matsumoto Yamaga FC had 6 shots (1 on target) to Thespakusatsu Gunma's 8 (2). Matsumoto Yamaga FC won 3 corners, Thespakusatsu Gunma 6. Matsumoto Yamaga FC produced 124 dangerous attacks to Thespakusatsu Gunma's 91.
What the result means
Thespakusatsu Gunma's run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end. It is Matsumoto Yamaga FC's first win against Thespakusatsu Gunma since 2021.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
