MAT Moghreb Tetouan vs CODM Meknes: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with CODM Meknes applying more of the pressure.
77' — CODM Meknes took the lead: 0-1. Daoui Oussama scored it. After 46' the momentum swung to MAT Moghreb Tetouan. CODM Meknes won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
MAT Moghreb TetouanDrawCODM Meknes
Pre-match model estimate: MAT Moghreb Tetouan 26%, draw 30%, CODM Meknes 44%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
MAT Moghreb TetouanCODM Meknes
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min750
Last 15 min7131
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): MAT Moghreb Tetouan win in 26% of the simulated matches, 30% end level and CODM Meknes win 44%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 0-1 (15%); both teams score in 41%. About 8.5 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The first half ended 0-0, with CODM Meknes the side applying more pressure.
MAT Moghreb Tetouan took over after the 46th minute, pinning CODM Meknes back. CODM Meknes took the lead in the 77th minute: Daoui Oussama.
Match statistics
On target it was 9-5, from 9 and 6 attempts respectively. MAT Moghreb Tetouan won 7 corners, CODM Meknes 11. CODM Meknes produced 68 dangerous attacks to MAT Moghreb Tetouan's 35.
What the result means
The result takes MAT Moghreb Tetouan to 3 points. CODM Meknes move on to 14 points. It is now 4 straight defeats for MAT Moghreb Tetouan. CODM Meknes extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Botola 1
