Mali vs Rwanda kick-off time: 13/11/2026 19:00
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- MaliDWWLDUnbeaten in 3 matches
- RwandaDWWLWUnbeaten in 3 matches
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benin | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Central African Republic | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Mali and Rwanda meet on in Africa Cup of Nations Qualification.
Venue: Stade du 26 Mars.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Mali (73%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Mali vs Rwanda: preview
Mali have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Mali are unbeaten in 3 matches. 1 of Mali's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Rwanda have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Rwanda are unbeaten in 3 matches. 4 of Rwanda's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 2.
Our pre-match model estimate: Mali 73%, draw 18%, Rwanda 9%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Mali win in 73% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Rwanda win 9%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 2-0 (16%); both teams score in 36%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
