Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Rubin Kazan Youth beat Lokomotiv Moscow Youth 3-1 in M-Liga Division A.
In our records Lokomotiv Moscow Youth and Rubin Kazan Youth have met 10 times: Lokomotiv Moscow Youth won 4, 3 ended level and Rubin Kazan Youth won 3.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Rubin Kazan Youth won 1-3.
Story
Lokomotiv Moscow Youth vs Rubin Kazan Youth: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
55' — Rubin Kazan Youth took the lead: 0-1. 61' — Lokomotiv Moscow Youth equalised: 1-1. 65' — Rubin Kazan Youth went back in front: 1-2. 67' — Lokomotiv Moscow Youth had a player sent off. 73' — Rubin Kazan Youth extended the lead: 1-3. Rubin Kazan Youth won 1-3.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Lokomotiv Moscow Youth win in 79% of the simulated matches, 13% end level and Rubin Kazan Youth win 8%. Average goals 3.9; the most likely score is 3-0 (9%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Lokomotiv Moscow Youth – Rubin Kazan Youth match report
Half-time: 0-0 between Lokomotiv Moscow Youth and Rubin Kazan Youth.
Rubin Kazan Youth took the lead on 55 minutes. Lokomotiv Moscow Youth drew level at 1-1 on 61 minutes. Rubin Kazan Youth went 2-1 up on 65 minutes. Lokomotiv Moscow Youth had a player sent off on 67 minutes. Just 6 minutes later (73') Rubin Kazan Youth extended their lead to 3-1.
Match statistics
On target it was 1-5, from 2 and 7 attempts respectively. Corners finished 4-3. Lokomotiv Moscow Youth's goalkeeper made 5 saves. Dangerous attacks: 124 for Lokomotiv Moscow Youth, 108 for Rubin Kazan Youth.
What the result means
Lokomotiv Moscow Youth remain 5th, now with 50 points. Rubin Kazan Youth stay 15th on 21 points. Rubin Kazan Youth beat Lokomotiv Moscow Youth for the first time since 2022.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
