Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Leones de Rosario FC beat Club Mercedes 1-0 in Primera C.
Match decisions & VAR
77'Penalty awardedLeones de Rosario FCDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Leones de Rosario FC won 1-0.
Story
Leones de Rosario FC vs Club Mercedes: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
79' — Leones de Rosario FC took the lead: 1-0. Leones de Rosario FC won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Leones de Rosario FCDrawClub Mercedes
Pre-match model estimate: Leones de Rosario FC 54%, draw 27%, Club Mercedes 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Leones de Rosario FC win in 54% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Club Mercedes win 19%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-0 (18%); both teams score in 38%. About 8.9 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 38%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Leones de Rosario FC had 10 shots (7 on target) to Club Mercedes' 3 (2). Leones de Rosario FC produced 111 dangerous attacks to Club Mercedes' 34.
What it means
The result takes Leones de Rosario FC to 54 points. Club Mercedes move on to 47 points. Leones de Rosario FC have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Leones de Rosario FC ended Club Mercedes' unbeaten run of 6 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
