CONCACAF Orta Amerika KupasıCD Motagua0 - 0LD Alajuelense
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
LD Alajuelense and CD Motagua meet on in CONCACAF Central American Cup, Placement Matches.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards LD Alajuelense (40%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
40%29%31%
LD Alajuelense40%Draw29%CD Motagua31%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
LD Alajuelense vs CD Motagua: preview
LD Alajuelense have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. LD Alajuelense are unbeaten in 7 matches. 5 of LD Alajuelense's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. CD Motagua have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. CD Motagua are unbeaten in 4 matches. 3 of CD Motagua's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 2.
Our pre-match model estimate: LD Alajuelense 40%, draw 29%, CD Motagua 31%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): LD Alajuelense win in 40% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and CD Motagua win 31%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 42%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
LD Alajuelense are unbeaten in their last 5 matches: 2 wins and 3 draws. LD Alajuelense have not lost in 7 matches. Across 10 matches, LD Alajuelense have scored 1.7 and let in 1.2 goals per match on average.
Over the last 5 matches, CD Motagua have collected 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. 4 games without defeat for CD Motagua. CD Motagua have kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
CONCACAF Central American Cup, Placement Matches
