Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FC: the story of the match
Varbergs BoIS FC started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. Half time: 0-0, with Varbergs BoIS FC applying more of the pressure.
70' — Landskrona BoIS took the lead: 1-0. 84' — Varbergs BoIS FC equalised: 1-1. N. Dahlström scored it. After 46' the momentum swung to Landskrona BoIS. After 76' the momentum swung to Varbergs BoIS FC. After 91' the momentum swung to Landskrona BoIS. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Landskrona BoISDrawVarbergs BoIS FC
Pre-match model estimate: Landskrona BoIS 50%, draw 22%, Varbergs BoIS FC 28%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Landskrona BoISVarbergs BoIS FC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min4622
Last 15 min3742
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Landskrona BoIS win in 50% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Varbergs BoIS FC win 28%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 60%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from Varbergs BoIS FC, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. Half-time: 0-0 between Landskrona BoIS and Varbergs BoIS FC.
Landskrona BoIS took over after the 46th minute, pinning Varbergs BoIS FC back. Landskrona BoIS took the lead on 70 minutes. From the 76th minute the pressure shifted towards Varbergs BoIS FC. Varbergs BoIS FC drew level at 1-1 in the 84th minute: N. Dahlström.
What the numbers say
On target it was 6-4, from 11 and 12 attempts respectively. Landskrona BoIS won 10 corners, Varbergs BoIS FC 8.
What the result means
Landskrona BoIS stay 5th on 44 points. Varbergs BoIS FC remain 4th, now with 47 points. Landskrona BoIS have now scored in 12 consecutive matches. Varbergs BoIS FC extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 2 wins for Landskrona BoIS, 6 wins for Varbergs BoIS FC and 3 draws.
Coming up
Next up for Landskrona BoIS: home to Orebro SK on Monday 2 November. Varbergs BoIS FC's next match is at home against Ljungskile SK on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
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