Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
KS Gornik Polkowice beat LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 4-1 in III Liga - Group III.
Match decisions & VAR
88'Red cardLKS Goczalkowice ZdrojDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: KS Gornik Polkowice won 4-1.
Story
KS Gornik Polkowice vs LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj: the story of the match
2' — KS Gornik Polkowice took the lead: 1-0. 23' — KS Gornik Polkowice extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
62' — LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj pulled one back: 2-1. 88' — KS Gornik Polkowice extended the lead: 3-1. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — KS Gornik Polkowice extended the lead: 4-1. It came in the closing minutes. KS Gornik Polkowice won 4-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
KS Gornik PolkowiceDrawLKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
Pre-match model estimate: KS Gornik Polkowice 47%, draw 24%, LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): KS Gornik Polkowice win in 47% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj win 29%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
KS Gornik Polkowice – LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj match report
KS Gornik Polkowice took the lead on 2 minutes. KS Gornik Polkowice extended their lead to 2-0 on 23 minutes. It was KS Gornik Polkowice 2-0 LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj at half-time.
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 62 minutes. Late on, in the 88th minute, KS Gornik Polkowice extended their lead to 3-1. Just 2 minutes later (90') KS Gornik Polkowice extended their lead to 4-1.
The statistics
Corners finished 11-1.
What the result means
The wait for a win goes on for LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj: 4 matches now.
III Liga - Group III
