Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Kenya Police and Ulinzi Stars FC meet on in Premier League.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Kenya Police (44%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
44%36%20%
Kenya Police44%Draw36%Ulinzi Stars FC20%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars FC: preview
Kenya Police have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Kenya Police have not won in 7 matches. 3 of Kenya Police's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Ulinzi Stars FC have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Ulinzi Stars FC have not won in 3 matches. 3 of Ulinzi Stars FC's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: Kenya Police 44%, draw 36%, Ulinzi Stars FC 20%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Kenya Police win in 44% of the simulated matches, 36% end level and Ulinzi Stars FC win 20%. Average goals 1.5; the most likely score is 0-0 (22%); both teams score in 27%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Kenya Police have 4 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Kenya Police have gone 7 matches without a win. Kenya Police average 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game over their last 10.
Over the last 5 matches, Ulinzi Stars FC have collected 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Ulinzi Stars FC are winless in 3. Across 10 matches, Ulinzi Stars FC have scored 1.1 and let in 0.9 goals per match on average.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
