Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Kara-Balta and Alay meet on in Premier League.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Alay (70%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
17%70%
Kara-Balta13%Draw17%Alay70%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Kara-Balta vs Alay: preview
Kara-Balta have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 matches. Kara-Balta have not won in 4 matches. Alay have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Alay have lost 3 matches in a row. 3 of Alay's last 5 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: Kara-Balta 13%, draw 17%, Alay 70%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Kara-Balta win in 13% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and Alay win 70%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 1-2 (9%); both teams score in 62%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Kara-Balta come into it with 1 draw and 3 defeats from 4 matches. Kara-Balta are winless in 4.
Alay have 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Alay come in on a run of 3 straight defeats. Goals have flowed in Alay's games: 3 of the last 5 produced at least three.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
