Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Kapaz PFC and Baku Sporting meet on in Cup.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Kapaz PFC (92%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
92%
Kapaz PFC92%Draw6%Baku Sporting2%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Kapaz PFC vs Baku Sporting: preview
Kapaz PFC have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. Kapaz PFC have scored in 7 matches in a row. 2 of Kapaz PFC's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. Baku Sporting have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches. Baku Sporting have not won in 6 matches. 5 of Baku Sporting's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
Our pre-match model estimate: Kapaz PFC 92%, draw 6%, Baku Sporting 2%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Kapaz PFC win in 92% of the simulated matches, 6% end level and Baku Sporting win 2%. Average goals 4.1; the most likely score is 3-0 (14%); both teams score in 36%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Kapaz PFC have 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Kapaz PFC have scored in each of their last 7 matches. Kapaz PFC average 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over their last 10.
Baku Sporting have not won any of their last 5 matches (5 defeats). Baku Sporting have gone 6 matches without a win. Across 10 matches, Baku Sporting have scored 1.1 and let in 1.9 goals per match on average.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Cup
