This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Jubilo Iwata win in 50% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Shonan Bellmare win 26%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 55%. About 10.6 corners on average. About 3.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 12%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Jubilo Iwata took the lead on 45 minutes. It was Jubilo Iwata 1-0 Shonan Bellmare at half-time.
Late on, in the 90th minute, Shonan Bellmare drew level at 1-1.
Match statistics
Corners finished 8-3.
The bigger picture
Jubilo Iwata remain 9th, now with 23 points. Shonan Bellmare stay 10th on 23 points. Jubilo Iwata are now unbeaten in 6 matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for Jubilo Iwata, 5 wins for Shonan Bellmare and 2 draws.
What’s next
Jubilo Iwata's next match is away to FC Imabari on 15 November. Shonan Bellmare host Yokohama FC next, on 14 November in the J2 League.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
J2 League
